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Market Intelligence

U.S. Economic Pulse

A single, honest read on where the U.S. economy stands — and what it means for luxury design, construction, and real estate. Tracked across markets, inflation, jobs, housing, and building materials, distilled into one score.

Macro data via Federal Reserve (FRED) · Mortgage rates via Freddie Mac (PMMS) · Markets via Finnhub · Auto-refreshes every 4 hours
U.S. Economic Pulse
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Economy Pulse
the logical score · fundamentals
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Mood Index
the feeling · consumer & market mood
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Fear & Greed Index
the crowd · CNN fear & greed
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Construction & Real Estate
the sector · housing, building & financing
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Forward Look

Outlook · Where We Might Be Headed

Model estimate · not investment advice

Where the economy is likely headed, read from the indicators that tend to move first. It points to a direction and the odds, not a price. The 6-month view is the steadiest; a single week is mostly noise.

Recession Risk
chance of a downturn within a year
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Built from the signals that turn first, like the yield curve, jobless claims and credit conditions.
Regime Map
growth vs inflation · last 6 mo drift
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By Horizon
1 Week
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1 Month
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6 Months
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Composite Score · 20-Yr History & 1-Yr Projection
■ History ■ Base case ■ Range ⌃+scroll zoom · drag pan
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Leading Indicators
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each one a clue to where growth is headed next
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How to read it: the gauge estimates recession risk, calibrated against established models (the NY Fed yield-curve model and the Sahm rule). The map shows which growth and inflation zone we are in and which way we are drifting. The fan widens because the further out you look, the less certain it gets. Directional odds from history. Not a price prediction, and not investment advice.

Markets & Risk

equities · volatility · sentiment
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Sector Heatmap · Today
▲ gain   ▼ decline
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Inflation & Rates

prices · the Fed · the curve
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Treasury Yield Curve
today vs 1yr ago
2s10s Spread · Recession Signal
⌃+scroll zoom · drag to pan · shaded = NBER

Growth & Labor

output · jobs · demand
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Consumer

confidence · spending
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Feeling vs. Doing · Sentiment vs. Actual Spending
How consumers say they feel (soft data) next to what they actually spend (hard data). Big gaps flag a mood that hasn't yet shown up in behavior — in either direction.
■ Sentiment (feeling) ■ Retail Sales YoY (doing) ⌃+scroll zoom · drag pan
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Energy & Commodities

oil · fuel · building materials
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Sector Lens

Construction, Real Estate & Mortgage

The deepest read for Vividly Built — the indicators that move a luxury design-build pipeline, from financing costs to builder sentiment to the price of lumber.

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Mortgage Rate · Housing Starts · Builder Confidence
■ 30Y Mortgage ■ Housing Starts ■ NAHB ⌃+scroll zoom · drag pan
What It Means For You

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The Read

plain-language summary & what needs attention
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What's Driving The Score
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Needs Attention
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All Clear
No indicators at alarming levels right now.
What's Working
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VIVIDLY BUILT · ECONOMIC PULSE| Snapshot of real readings · Jun 2026 — run the backend for live auto-refresh| Methodology: weighted composite, 6 categories

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CTRL + SCROLL TO ZOOM · DRAG TO PAN · ⚲ TO SELECT